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Ropes tied together
Outlook Category: Outlook

Geopolitical rupture in Europe: long-term investment implications

In addition to precipitating a devastating humanitarian crisis, Russia's invasion of Ukraine has sent ripples across markets and raised significant questions for investors over the long term.

Forest reflecting in a lake
Outlook Category: Outlook

Q2 outlook: The quest for resilience in a fragile world

Ukraine flag hanging outside a building
Outlook Category: Outlook

Q2 outlook: Tackling inflation and recession risk

In their latest investment outlook, our Asset Allocation team explain why in light of the evolving macroeconomic environment, they now favour selling into strength

Excavator working at a salt mine

The energy transition dilemma

A common goal of limiting global warming to well-below 2°C – and ideally 1.5°C by the end of the century as set out in the Paris Agreement – does not mean there is a common or accepted path for how to get there.

Penguins near an iceberg
DB Category: DB

Endgame portfolios: making the most of CDI

The benefits of cashflow driven investment (CDI) are slightly controversial. Some believe it is a powerful risk management strategy for DB schemes nearing their endgames, whereas others are more sceptical given that it may compromise multi-asset diversification

City of London skyline
Outlook Category: Outlook

Private credit 2022 market outlook

Looking up at a boat mast and sail
Outlook Category: Outlook

Q1 outlook: New year, new narrative

Even though 2022 has begun with an abrupt change in the macro narrative, stoked by the Fed, we hold the line on our bullish outlook for risk assets.

Stepping stones on a lake
Outlook Category: Outlook

Solutions Outlook 2022

In our 2022 Solutions Outlook, members of the team share their insights on what we believe to be some of the key themes for the year ahead. From CDI and credit markets to inflation, green gilts and equity protection strategies, we discuss some of the most important topics for DB pension schemes this year.

Wave Crashing
Outlook Category: Outlook

Active Strategies Outlook UK

Q4 2021 - An introduction to Active Strategies

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DC Category: DC

Our four-step guide to new pension consolidation rules

We’ve put together a four-step checklist with useful tips and guidelines around the new reporting requirements and obligations around pension consolidation.

2022 outlook
CIO Outlook Category: CIO Outlook

2022 outlook: Gathering pace

Expect profound changes in 2022 and beyond that will create both risks and opportunities for investors.

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Reaching net zero: LGIM’s approach

Cars pushing through bottlenecks
Outlook Category: Outlook

Q4 outlook: Pushing through bottlenecks

Lewis Pugh CIO Outlook
CIO Outlook Category: CIO Outlook

CIO autumn update: Countdown to COP26

We are focusing this autumn update on what the climate crisis means for our clients.

Power station by water

Decarbonisation: seeking stratospheric performance

Global temperatures are currently on a trajectory to increase by nearly 4°C above pre-industrial levels, which would be truly catastrophic, unless action is taken.

LGIM Q3 Outlook

Q3 Outlook: Summertime for investors?

Long Bridge
Fixed Income Category: Fixed Income

Global high yield: The asset class for all seasons

In this article, we look at the high Sharpe ratios, improvement in quality and low duration of global high yield corporate bonds and explain why we believe that this asset class could be a valuable addition to a DB pension scheme portfolio.

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Net zero - A practical guide for investors

We show the true scale of the climate challenge facing investors – and outline how they can seek to manage the associated risks, and look to consider the potential opportunities, by aligning their portfolios to a net-zero pathway.

Woman farmer working in a rice field in Myanmar
DB Category: DB

Diversified credit: shortening the time to endgame?

We believe diversified credit (or multistrategy credit) can be much more than just a growth asset class. It could help pension schemes to meet their endgame sooner whilst also providing cashflows.

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TCFD checklist Category: TCFD checklist

Dotting your i's and crossing your TCFDs

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Fixed income Category: Fixed income

Fixed Income Update Q2 2021

In fixed income markets, it’s usually when things begin to ‘feel’ better that you run into maximum optimism. But wouldn’t it be ironic if the long-awaited reopening of economies and societies turned out to be a difficult period for markets?

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Q2 Outlook 2021: Staying the course

The biggest short
DB Category: DB

Widening the field for yield

Why we believe buy and maintain investors may wish to consider allocating to emerging market debt.

DB DC Category: DB DC

Alpha management: Deploying your active risk budget effectively

As the French philosopher Voltaire said, “Uncertainty is an uncomfortable position. But certainty is an absurd one.”

Green gilts
DB Category: DB

Green gilts

An update on our recent engagement activities and some key considerations for our clients.

DC Category: DC

ESG in DC Pensions Report

Q4 Outlook - Reasons to believe

Q1 Outlook 2021: Rays of light

We remain long risk assets, and are minded to increase this stance, as economic normalisation is on the horizon and policymakers remain supportive.

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DC Category: DC

How social media tools can empower and engage pension savers

Giving scheme members a voice on the ESG issues that matter to them can keep them focused on their pensions

DC Category: DC

Walk this way

Pension savers’ views on the FCA’s Investment Pathways

2021 Q1 Outlook: Fixed Income

Greater political certainty in the US, combined with positive news on both the efficacy and deployment of COVID-19 vaccines, have given investors the green light to add risk.

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Private credit outlook Category: Private credit outlook

Private credit outlook

Given the nature of private markets, the pricing dynamics between each asset class and the changing lender mix, we expect to see variations in the risk/reward profiles of each asset class in 2021 and beyond.

DB Category: DB

Secure income assets: lifting the lid on ESG integration

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DC Category: DC

Solving decumulation dilemmas

Five years on from Freedom and Choice, the New Romantic generation is dancing towards a decidedly unromantic retirement.

CIO Outlook Category: CIO Outlook

CIO Outlook: Time for healing

Despite the ongoing challenges, we see next year as a time for healing – for the economy, environment and society.

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DC Category: DC

Pension income: Why drawing down is going up

With over £100bn of defined contribution (DC) assets under management, Legal & General’ is the largest DC pension provider in the UK.

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DB Category: DB

Secure income assets: new opportunities for a new decade

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DB Category: DB

The role of secure income assets post-COVID-19

The impact of the global pandemic is expected to influence the world around us, long after its eradication.

All Category: All

LGIM's ESG scores

In 2019, LGIM ran a targeted engagement campaign focused on social, governance and transparency issues at large companies with poor ESG scores.

All Category: All

Renewing our Climate Impact Pledge

To spur net-zero carbon emissions, we are making our targeted engagement programme even more ambitious

Q4 Outlook - Reasons to believe

Q4 Outlook: Reasons to believe

As we enter the final months of 2020, we outline why we have become more inclined to buy dips in the equity markets.

CIO autumn update Category: CIO autumn update

CIO autumn update: Endurance test

The more things stay the same…

DC Category: DC

Improving retirees’ withdrawal symptoms

ESG in LGIM’s Active EMD investment process

As fixed income professionals, one question we find ourselves increasingly answering is: How do you make the connection between environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations and credit?

Fixed income Category: Fixed income

Fixed Income Outlook Q3 2020

Q3 Outlook: Taking stock

Outlook Category: Outlook

Q3 Outlook 2020: Optimism versus reality

We believe there is a striking disconnect between market pricing and the real economy, especially with regard to expected company earnings.

CIO Outlook Category: CIO Outlook

CIO outlook: Recovery positions

DB Category: DB

Are secure income assets being overlooked?

As activity in public credit markets has oscillated across our screens, private credit markets have been largely overlooked.

DC Category: DC

Finding the greenest generation

Our research into the ESG views of Boomer, Gen X and Millennial savers

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Politics and Policy Category: Politics and Policy

Active ownership 2019: Global engagement to deliver positive change

DC Category: DC

ESG, easy as 1,2,3

Practical steps for meeting increased disclosure requirements

White Pillars
DB Category: DB

The Consolidator Conundrum

As activity in public credit markets has oscillated across our screens, private credit markets have been largely overlooked.

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DC Category: DC

Could longevity risk affect your DC investment strategy?

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DB Category: DB

Actively diversified: Harnessing multiple return sources

Harnessing multiple return sources

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All Category: All

CIO outlook: Year of change

In this outlook, teams from across LGIM examine the opportunities and risks with which investors are presented in this context.

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All Category: All

Climate Impact Pledge: Tackling the climate emergency

The second annual results of our Climate Impact Pledge showcase the corporate leaders and laggards on climate action; we are encouraged by improvements across sectors but will continue to press companies to meet this era-defining challenge.

All Category: All

Inequality: the issue set to dominate the investment agenda

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DB Category: DB

Should DB Schemes buy into the case for buy-ins?

Buy-ins can be a useful tool in schemes’ armoury as they de-risk into their endgames, but only under certain conditions.

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DC Category: DC

The power of data science

Ros Altmann, former UK pensions minister, has spoken of the need to “make pensions digital”. The Department of Work and Pensions’ Pensions Dashboard aims to do just that, by collecting and curating information about members’ multiple defined benefit (DB) and defined contribution (DC) pension pots in a single, digital location.

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Politics and Policy Category: Politics and Policy

Modern Monetary Theory: are deficit hawks an endangered species?

A once-fringe economic theory has been embraced by liberal politicians at the same time as traditional budget hawks have been in retreat. Its rise has potentially radical implications for inflation and investors.

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All Category: All

CIO outlook: Opportunities in adversity

In this outlook, we bring together teams from across LGIM to answer the key macro and market questions for our clients over different time horizons.

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Outlook Category: Outlook

The signals and the noise

As we look ahead to the next three months, and consider how to invest on behalf of our clients, we are confronted by seemingly conficting signals from depressed bond yields and exuberant equities.

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Multi- Asset Category: Multi- Asset

Factoring in volatility: building a defensive factor portfolio

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DC Category: DC

ESG: how is LGIM helping you?

Five pointers to help you understand what we at LGIM are doing to support your pension governance strategy

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DB Category: DB

Any TIPS to manage inflation?

We look at whether TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities) deserve a greater role within UK defined benefit (DB) schemes’ portfolios.

DB + DC Category: DB + DC

Board effectiveness: Lessons from companies to trustees

Good governance is crucial to all boards, whether they oversee a FTSE 100 multinational, a multi-billion pound pension scheme or a national charity. There is no one-size-fits-all approach to how boards should be run but we have learned that there are plenty of ways to evolve and enhance effectiveness.

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Politics and Policy Category: Politics and Policy

The prospects for and implications of a four-day working week

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Fundamentals Category: Fundamentals

Retirement anxiety, rate depression, populism…and what to do about it

With global interest rates remaining near all-time lows, and $15 trillion of debt providing investors a negative yield, bond-market bears are in danger of becoming extinct. But could today’s ageing society finally provide the trigger for a sustained bond-market selloff?

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Outlook Category: Outlook

Remaining bullish as the cycle goes on

We stay bullish on risk assets as we believe the medium term outlook for markets has actually improved

Energy Category: Energy

The nuclear option

Does a decarbonising world need atomic energy?

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DB + DC Category: DB + DC

Material change: a five-step ESG checklist for trustees

How can pension trustees prepare for new requirements on the financial materiality of environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors?

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DB Category: DB

Managing risk in turbulent times

Four practical steps DB pension schemes can take to help them navigate volatile markets.

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DB Category: DB

CPI liabilities: the wedge and the hedge

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DB Category: DB

Cashflow Awareness; Transfers out

Managing transfers out of DB pension schemes.

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DB Category: DB

Emerging market debt – missing piece of the cashflow matching puzzle

Cashflow matching strategies are customised investment solutions, designed to enable clients such as pension schemes or insurance companies to meet their liabilities. We believe that emerging market fixed income has an important role to play in designing cashflow matching strategies.

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CIO Outlook Category: CIO Outlook

Brace for a credit squeeze

Unfortunately for markets, our bearish outlook for 2018 came to pass. For 2019, the key question is how tightening fnancial conditions will impact heavily indebted borrowers – and whether this raises the risk of recession.

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DB Category: DB

Zombie pension schemes: a viable alternative?

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DB Category: DB

LPI-linked cashflows - how should trustees manage these cashflows?

DB pension schemes typically pay inflation-linked benefits with caps and floors, called limited price indexation (LPI) linked benefits. How should trustees manage these cashflows?

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Demographics Category: Demographics

Demographic strategy: the cost of unhealthy living

Raising the retirement age can help with the fiscal costs of living longer. But our unhealthy lives could force us to look at other options.

Politics and Policy Category: Politics and Policy

Freedom for the central banks

In the next economic downturn, central banks will likely have to reach further into their unconventional playbook. But which policymakers have the most freedom to act and what does that mean for asset prices?

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Demographics Category: Demographics

Investing in future cities

What determines a city’s future success and how is this linked to property investment?

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Energy Category: Energy

Are battery prices in for a shock?

Battery costs have declined rapidly in recent years, but the market is likely too optimistic about both the timeline for lower battery costs and what happens when we get there.

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Multi-asset Category: Multi-asset

Emerging markets lead the way

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DB Category: DB

Factor-based challenges

There are so many elements to consider when building factor-based solutions it can be overwhelming. We’ve highlighted two case studies of investors tackling these challenges.

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DB Category: DB

Broadening the universe: The strategic case for alternative credit

The falls over the past two years in high yield and emerging market debt (‘alternative credit’) credit spreads,1 along with indications of late-cycle behaviour in the US, has led some investors to be nervous about allocating to these areas. But should pension schemes reconsider?

Outlook Category: Outlook

Q2 Outlook: Safety first

In our last quarterly outlook, we flagged our cautious posture on risk assets, taken due to a number of smouldering risks on the horizon. One risk we did not highlight, however, was that a pandemic would break out, causing untold human suffering and economic damage.

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Outlook Category: Outlook

Q4 outlook: Gathering clouds

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Outlook Category: Outlook

Q1 Outlook: Mind the traps

We remain cautious overall as risks of the US election, trade with China, unpredictable geopolitical events and Brexit continue to smoulder.

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Index Category: Index

Responsible investing: factor friend or foe?

Can environmental, social and governance concerns (ESG) fit within a factor-based portfolio? In this article, we tackle two issues: the inconsistency in methodologies for ESG scoring, and ways to integrate ESG considerations into factor portfolios.

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Multi-Asset Category: Multi-Asset

Good growth, poor politics

Developments in trade tensions, emerging markets and European politics may determine the trajectory of markets over the coming months.

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Multi-Asset Category: Multi-Asset

America first… but for how long?

Whether you’re looking at equities, bond yields, currencies or economic strength, it’s the US that’s been leading the charge. Is this likely to continue?

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All Category: All

US midterms: three scenarios for investors

The American midterm elections are approaching and the crystal ball gazing has begun. Here’s what investors should consider regardless of whether the US votes for a ‘distilled Donald’, the ‘Democratic double’ or a ‘divided democracy’.

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Outlook Category: Outlook

Investing in the twilight zone

Plastics on beach
Energy Category: Energy

What the battle against plastic means for oil demand

Cleaning up the world’s plastic waste will be a monumental effort – one which will have major implications for petrochemical companies and the long-term demand for oil.

CIO Outlook Category: CIO Outlook

Expect the bumpy journey to continue

Investors have been buffeted by a large number of negative headlines in 2018. We remain of the view that tightening global liquidity conditions are likely to exacerbate market volatility.

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Politics and Policy Category: Politics and Policy

EU migration, populism and investment risks

Investors need to factor in how immigration concerns in the European Union could fuel the rise of populist parties, potentially increasing the political risk premium.

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DB + DC Category: DB + DC

Equities for the long run?

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All Category: All

LGIM’s Climate Impact Pledge: The results so far

"We are publicising the global corporate leaders and laggards on climate change."

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Demographics Category: Demographics

China’s rising middle class: sector implications

Today’s China no longer matches the view of the country that most people have. Could this gap between perception and reality offer a wealth of investment opportunities?

Index Category: Index

Why voting matters for index investors

The ‘one share, one vote’ standard has been in place since 1940 but the number of companies with unequal voting rights is on the rise.

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Fixed income Category: Fixed income

The monetary policy squeeze

What should investors make of rising yields, higher volatility and wider credit spreads?

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Multi-asset Category: Multi-asset

What the Stone Age can teach investors

A brief discussion of some of the behavioural biases that can explain factor premia.

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Multi-asset Category: Multi-asset

Boom then bust?

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Fixed income Category: Fixed income

EMD: Stronger fundamentals are first line of defence in trade war

While trade tensions have escalated in recent months, we believe the case for emerging markets remains compelling - if investors know where to look.

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Index Category: Index

Overcrowding and capacity in factor-based investing

Many investors combine concerns over overcrowding in factors with capacity fears. We want to help separate these terms and provide some clarity over the current state of factors.

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Active equities Category: Active equities

Artificial intelligence gets real

Is artificial intelligence overhyped, or are we at the vanguard of a new wave of corporate productivity improvements ushered in by next-generation technology?

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All Category: All

Why we shouldn't be too miffed with MiFID II

All hail shale
Multi-asset Category: Multi-asset

All hail shale?

The disruptive change of the ‘shale revolution’ has forced existing producers to adapt while reducing OPEC’s pricing power. We expect further far-reaching changes to take effect in the coming years

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DC Solutions Category: DC Solutions

Making a statement

Most employees take no pensions guidance, which can cause problems after retirement

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DC Solutions Category: DC Solutions

DC Governance: a checklist

Is your scheme following best practice?

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Active equities Category: Active equities

UK equities: On the brink of a new era

Get ready for a shift in UK market leadership, says Stephen Message, manager of the L&G UK Equity Income Fund.

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Fixed income Category: Fixed income

Credit Outlook 2018

Are market expectations too good to be true?

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Fixed Income Category: Fixed Income

EM Outlook 2018

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Active Equities Category: Active Equities

Active Voice: Turnaround stories

Companies that have seen their share price depreciate sharply in the face of self-inflicted wounds, structural challenges, or cyclical headwinds, represent potential ‘turnaround stories’. In this article we look at the attraction of investing in these businesses, and evaluate the risks or opportunities they present.

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Multi Asset Category: Multi Asset

Walking a tightrope in 2018

We expect another strong year for growth with the global economy firing on almost all cylinders. But the market has priced in this optimism, implying greater vulnerability for disappointment. We expect the low interest rate environment to continue into 2018. While interest rates can drift up, we do not think this is the beginning of the end for the bond markets.

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CIO Outlook Category: CIO Outlook

CIO Investment Outlook

The consequences of monetary tightening will define the 2018 investment landscape.

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Politics and Policy Category: Politics and Policy

Unconventional policy in the next downturn

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Energy Category: Energy

The renewable revolution

A renewable revolution is taking place in the way we produce and consume energy and it presents an enormous opportunity for investors.

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Technology Category: Technology

The future of TV: It's blurred

Predictions about the demise of the TV industry have persisted for over a decade, even as UK TV advertising and subscription revenues have continued to grow. However, we believe the industry has reached a tipping point, driven by rapid developments in technology and changing demographics.

Demographics Category: Demographics

Demographic dividends, corporate challenges

Increasing life expectancy is one of the most profound success stories of the post-war era. The pace and scale of this human success story has been remarkable, but it is creating its own challenges for corporates.

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DC Category: DC

Assessing the key challenges in DC

October marked a significant milestone in DC: five years since the beginning of auto-enrolment.

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Multi-asset Category: Multi-asset

Steady and synchronised

In this quarterly outlook we outline our asset allocation views and address three key questions on equities, US monetarypolicy and emerging markets.

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Fixed Income Category: Fixed Income

Emerging market debt ratios - opportunities and risks

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Demographics Category: Demographics

Demographics and inflation – an age-old problem

Slower population growth has probably depressed OECD inflation by around ½% over the past decade. Going forward, the outlook could change.

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Technology Category: Technology

Knowing me, knowing EU: an update on Brexit

A weak pound and rising inflation, set against a tight labour market and loose credit conditions, should keep the UK out of recession.

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Demographics Category: Demographics

End of the baby boom

The retirement of baby boomers is having a negative impact on economic growth. This is bad news for the return on risky assets and applies downward pressure on interest rates.

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Energy Category: Energy

What happened to peak oil?

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Technology Category: Technology

Investing in change

The enthusiasm and excitement of a new technology has on many occasions captured the imagination of the supposedly hard-nosed investment community, and encouraged them to overstate its profit potential.

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All Category: All

Investing in a changing world

The world is changing and how it looks in five years’ time will be very different to today. A long-term perspective is the key to success.

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Technology Category: Technology

The disruption dilemma

Technology change presents risks as well as opportunities. Identifying and valuing these risks is crucial to preserving investor value in both the short and the long term.

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Demographics Category: Demographics

Demographic drivers

Some countries are in pole position, while others are in danger of crashing out. The global labour force (the number of 15-70 year olds willing to work) is slowing down.

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Technology Category: Technology

Global passenger car penetration: Grid lock!

Population density and growing congestion could limit growth in vehicle penetration.

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Technology Category: Technology

The driving machine transformed

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Demographics Category: Demographics

Ageing and wrinkles in public finances

Pay-as-you-go pension and healthcare schemes are under increasing pressure from ageing populations.

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DB Category: DB

Raising cashflow awareness

Effective cashflow management for DB pension schemes.

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DB Category: DB

Longevity risk and its implications for endgame portfolios.

This paper examines how uncertainty regarding future mortality rates and life expectancy, i.e. longevity risk, affects defined benefit pension schemes.

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Demographics Category: Demographics

Asia demographics: from ageing champions to young challengers

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DB Category: DB

Collateral damage - Building a safety net

By incorporating leverage, liability driven investment (LDI) strategies have assisted pension schemes in managing the competing capital requirements of hedging liability risk and generating returns to reduce deficits.

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DB Category: DB

Finding hidden value in your investment governance

The Pensions Regulator is clear in its guidance – all trustee efforts should be focused on achieving one outcome: paying pensions to members of the scheme as they fall due.

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DB Category: DB

Covenant risk - modelling, managing and mitigating a key risk

Moving schemes towards better glidepaths.

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DB + DC Category: DB + DC

North America’s board refreshment challenge

In the US, the board refreshment process is under scrutiny yet remains focused on retirement age limits. LGIM suggests a better way for US companies to refresh their boards.

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DB + DC Category: DB + DC

What is the appropriate level of currency hedging?

Recent currency market volatility, particularly the fall in the value of the pound, has highlighted the importance of determining the appropriate level of currency hedging for investors in international assets.

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Index Category: Index

Can including fallen angels enhance returns?

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Fixed Income Category: Fixed Income

UK yields to stay low?

Investors currently buying UK government bonds are doing so in the knowledge that they are accepting a yield which is lower than the rate of inflation, i.e. the real yield.

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Multi-asset Category: Multi-asset

Hung parliament - Minority Report

In a surprising result, the general election has ended in a hung parliament. At the time of writing, the Conservative party has won approximately 318 seats.

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Fixed Income Category: Fixed Income

In Defence of Discipline

Global credit markets have shown remarkable resilience over the past year.

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Multi-asset Category: Multi-asset

Le Pen is mightier than the sword, but not Emmanuel Macron

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Fixed Income Category: Fixed Income

Taper Tantrum 2: The Fed and the Furious

Monetary support is being tapered despite significant risks. Pressure is building steadily and we think that recent resilience is going to be tested.

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Multi-asset Category: Multi-asset

Should investors be worried about US-China relations?

A rising China creates the potential for tension between itself and the leading world superpower, the United States. Investors should pay attention to the shifting of global power structures.

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Fixed Income Category: Fixed Income

The vanishing cycle

Just as the popularity of two-wheeled pedal power has been surging across London, a different type of cycle, the economic kind, has vanished from sight.

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Multi-asset Category: Multi-asset

Markets under the macroscope

In this quarterly outlook we outline our asset allocation views and address four key questions on wages, sterling, trade and rates.

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Fixed Income Category: Fixed Income

Emerging market debt ratios - opportunities and risks

It’s tempting to think otherwise, but not all emerging market debt is created equal. In this piece we examine the public, private and external debt profiles of individual emerging markets.

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Energy Category: Energy

Peak coal: in terminal decline?

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Technology Category: Technology

Inside the walls of smart logistics

The logistics industry is seeing increased investment, driven by technology trends including automation and smart manufacturing.

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DC Category: DC

Can better financial wellbeing lead to higher savings?

The DC pensions industry has moved forward since auto-enrolment was introduced, with many more saving into a pension. This is great news, but challenges remain. How do we help individuals see the value in saving more for a future that seems a long way off?

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